Probability charts for predicting ice thickness

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AuthorSearch for:
Journal titleEngineering Journal
Pages37; # of pages: 5
Subjectice; thickness; probability theory; heat losses
AbstractIn this paper, a method of predicting ice thickness and rate of ice growth on lakes, rivers and harbours is proposed. This method is based on probability charts which provide information on the probable rate of increase of ice thickness during the ice-growth period and the probable maximum thickness that will be attained under a wide variety of site conditions in North America. The limits of heat loss through ice covers is obtained by converting ice-growth rates given in the probability charts to rate of heat loss. Depth of snow cover on ice is shown to have a marked effect on the rate of ice growth. It is concluded that if ice thickness measurements are not available at a site, ice probability charts can provide a useful method of putting limits on the rate of ice growth and maximum ice thickness to be expected.
Publication date
AffiliationNRC Institute for Research in Construction; National Research Council Canada
Peer reviewedNo
NRC number7419
NPARC number20374416
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Record identifier79aed560-1fc3-49f6-aeb8-8116aa487477
Record created2012-07-23
Record modified2016-07-13
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